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Thread: 2014 Elections - Predictions by Minhaz Merchant

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    2014 Elections - Predictions by Minhaz Merchant

    Minhaz Merchant has recently published his projections for the 2014 Elections-

    http://blogs.timesofindia.indiatimes...al-math-part-1

    Statewise projections can be found on the link above.

    NDA
    BJP-205, SS 16, SAD 7, HJC 1, INLD 1, Independents/Others 4
    NDA Total -234


    UPA
    Congress-93, NCP 4, NC 2, Independents/Others: 5
    UPA Total-104



    My Comments-
    • 14 Seats for the BJP in Karnataka is unrealistic. In the current scenario the best they can aim for is 5. If Yeddyurappa comes back, they will get 10. It will be a close fight in another 5 seats but I doubt the BJP can win those seats.
    • 5 seats for BJP in Andhra Pradesh is too much.
    • No way Congress is winning 2 seats in Bihar.
    • BJP will win around 22 seats in Bihar. 18 is an underestimation.
    • BJP will sweep all 26 seats in Gujarat.
    • BJP will get 21 or 22 seats in Rajasthan. 16 is an underestimation.
    • 10 seats for DMK is too much. They will win 4 or 5 at the most.
    • BJP will get 50 to 55 seats in Uttar Pradesh. 39 is an underestimation.


    Overall, I think as per present situation, BJP- 225, Congress- 84.
    Last edited by Omkara; 14 October 2013 at 11:31 AM.
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    Re: 2014 Elections - Predictions by Minhaz Merchant

    If Yeddyurappa comes back, they will get 10.
    I agree but if Yeddyurappa returns BJP will loose its image. Urban voters are sick of Yeddi and Reddy
    Anirudh...

  3. #3

    Re: 2014 Elections - Predictions by Minhaz Merchant

    That would be incredible. I hope Modi stays alive, there are a lot of terrorists trying to knock him out.

    I wish Paschimbanga had its own right-center party. BJP is unfortunately perceived as the party of Marwaris/Gujjus. We had voted Tapan Sikdar once as MLA back during Vajpayee's time from North 24 Pargannas, but we have a substantial Marwari population here. For a lot of us, Trinomool was right-center while they were in opposition to CPM. Unfortunately that changed when Mamata jumped on the Nandigram bandwagon and positioned herself left of CPM, which believe it or not was finally moving in a direction as the Chinese Communist Party, to the right.

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